Ryan Poles and his front office entourage have their own draft board and have promised to draft the best player available according to said board. But what if a running back sits atop their list? Bijan Robinson is arguably the most talented player in this draft class and appears to be what scouts used to call a “franchise back.” Robinson is a generational talent who is often compared to Saquon Barkley, LaDainian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, and Barry Sanders.
Is he worth a top-10 pick in this year’s draft? He’s already met with the Eagles and Buccaneers. Philadelphia selects 10th overall, and in all likelihood, the Bucs would have to get to No. 9 to have a shot at Robinson, or possibly higher.
"Somebody told me don't sleep on Bijan Robinson with the Chicago Bears at number 9."
– NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah
— Daniel Greenberg (@ChiSportUpdates) April 20, 2023
Conventional wisdom says you don’t draft running backs early, and for sure, few get their rookie contracts extended. Most teams bank on a “best man plays” approach to the backfield. The Bears are well-stocked at running back. In addition to incumbent starter Khalil Herbert, Chicago has recent signees D’Onta Foreman and Travis Homer. Sophomore Trestan Ebner is the fourth back in the team’s rotation.
The Bears will add to that group, either in next week’s draft or undrafted free agency. It remains to be seen if Poles will be willing to take a running back at No. 9 or trade down in hopes of selecting Robinson lower. I do believe B-Rob will be a top-10 pick, however. The Eagles will take him at No. 10 if he’s available, full stop. The theory that Poles traded down to the ninth pick knowing he could still get Roninson makes sense, whether that is a legitimate rumor or not. Combining the Texas tailback with Fields and D.J. Moore would give the Bears one of the most potent offenses in the NFL.
This is a deep class for running backs, and potential all-stars will be available in rounds two and three.
Fill in the blank:
Bijan Robinson is the best RB prospect since _________ pic.twitter.com/DLR9fJFE2y
— PlaymakerU (@playmakerU) April 20, 2023
First Round Prospects
- Bijan Robinson – I have him ranked as the second-best available prospect in this draft class, and the only one worthy of first-round consideration. In fact, I’d consider trading Herbert just to draft B-Rob. Robinson is the best running back prospect to enter the draft since Barkley in 2018. He’s a patient and instinctive runner with outstanding contact balance, and it almost always takes more than one defender to get him on the ground. He’s a reliable pass catcher with the body control to adjust to passes thrown outside his frame, and he’s a threat after the catch. He’s also a tremendous blocker, which is why he makes sense for Chicago. By the way, he has yet to reach his full potential, and he said he’d love to play for the Bears because of Justin Fields. Everybody says that these days, though. Will Anderson Jr. is the only player I have rated ahead of Robinson, in case you’re wondering.
Second and Third Round Prospects
- Jahmyr Gibbs – Gibbs is talented enough to go in the first round. In fact, he could end up with the Bills at No. 27. If he isn’t, and the Eagles take Robinson at No. 10, it’s possible Gibbs could slide all the way to the Bears at No. 53. There is a pretty big dropoff in talent after these first two. Gibbs is a home run hitter with two rare traits — his ability to make defenders whiff in tight spaces and his ability to run away from defenders. He sounds a lot like Herbert, in fact. Put in that perspective, it means Chicago is unlikely to draft a running back on days one or two if the front office passes on Robinson.
Rounds Four through Seven Prospects
- Tyjae Spears – He has the patience and footspeed to excel in a zone-heavy scheme, and he does a good job of following his blocks on power/gap runs. Spears also has the footspeed to bounce between seams, is quick through the hole, and has the burst to turn the corner. He is a little small, however, and won’t help Fields much in pass protection.
- Zach Charbonnet – An instinctive, patient runner with the footspeed to sift through traffic between the tackles. Charbonnet also has the raw power, balance, and determination to regularly pick up yards after contact. He lacks an elite second gear and needs to work on pass protection.
- Kendre Miller – Miller has contact balance with fantastic lower-body flexibility but is not an overpowering back. He relies more on his agility and sharp cutting ability than he does on his size and power as a runner. Miller is adequate at best as a receiver.
- Roschon Johnson – A competitive and well-skilled blocker, Johnson lacks the ability to pull away from pursuit or make defenders miss in open spaces. The Cowboys reportedly favor Johnson if they are unable to select Robinson.
- Devon Achane – An undersized, strength-deficient burner with excellent top-end speed. Should also be an explosive special teams player.
- Tank Bigsby – A patient runner with solid vision who relies on his speed a little too much. Bigsby runs low to the ground when attacking the line of scrimmage and has solid contact balance. However, he lacks explosive power.
- DeWayne McBride – A patient and instinctive between-the-tackles runner with the footspeed to sift through traffic. McBride’s greatest strength is his ability to pick up yards after contact. He doesn’t appear to have elite burst or top-end speed and fumbles the ball quite a bit.
- Eric Gray – Gray is a little underrated in my opinion. He does everything well, but he has no standout skills. He’s a bit on the diminutive side, but he’s strong and instinctive, slippery and elusive. He doesn’t have the off-the-charts athleticism of Tarik Cohen but will remind you of the former Bear at times.
- Chase Brown – Brown is another scout-the-helmet favorite of Bears fans. He is an efficient runner who has the patience and footspeed to press the line of scrimmage, get second-level defenders to commit, and then bounce into an open gap. Yes, that sounds a lot like Herbert, except Brown is a better pass receiver.
- Israel Abanikanda – His contact balance and second gear make him a threat to score whenever he gets a crease. Abanikanda can hit the hole at full speed running between the tackles and has the burst to bounce runs outside. His blocking and pass-catching skills need a lot of work. Like every other running back in this draft, Abanikanda is heavily linked to the Cowboys.
- Zach Evans – Has some traits of an RB1 but grades out as a rotating RB2 or RB3 as a rookie. I like his acceleration/burst and his physicality. He’s a good Day 3 value pick or someone to look at as an UDFA if he slides that far.
- Deuce Vaughn – Vaughn is an effective route runner and is versatile enough to line up in the slot. But his size (5-foot-6, 172 pounds) hinders his ability to hold up in pass protection. He has sixth-round value but seems more like a UDFA to me.
To be clear, Chicago does not need a running back…this year. But Foreman and Homer are on one-year deals, and the Bears are unlikely to give Herbert a fifth year on his rookie contract when that decision must be made. Taking B-Rob should be considered folly unless you are buying into Poles’ long-term approach to rebuilding his team. It’s also important to remember that Fields is looking at a big payday after this season. That means taking Robinson now and getting him for five years on a rookie deal makes a lot of sense.
Robinson is going to be the best player available if he slides to No. 9 overall. There is no debating that. If Chicago passes, there are certainly options in the later rounds, but none as talented as B-Rob. If I’m in Poles’ seat, I take the guy labeled a “generational talent” and let the chips fall where they may. But that’s just me. This storyline has made for one of the better debates of the offseason.